Tag Archives: S&P United Kingdom Index
Divining Brexit
The markets’ view of the pending British referendum on EU membership displays the hallmarks of a low probability, high impact event. Correlations, and volatility expectations, are the key indicators. When macroeconomic risk is dominant, as a select few narratives come to preoccupy investors, correlations increase. For example, in August and September 2015, markets worldwide were roiled…
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